Saucer Smear

OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SAUCER & UNEXPLAINED CELESTIAL EVENTS RESEARCH SOCIETY
EDITOR AND STILL
SUPREME COMMANDER:
James W. Moseley

CONTRIBUTING EDITOR:
Karl T. Pflock

NON-SCHEDULED
NEWSLETTER
Volume 50, No. 4
April 15th, 2003
(Whole Number 360)
OUR FIFTIETH YEAR!

MAILING ADDRESS:
P. 0. Box 1709
Key West, FL 33041

We welcome your correspondence, pro or con, well-reasoned or otherwise, but please keep in mind that while Saucer Smear is on the Dreaded Internet, your humble editor is NOT! So, if you wish to receive a personal reply to your letter, or wish to have any chance of seeing it printed on Our Glorious Pages, please print it out, put it in an envelope, affix a stamp thereto, and SNAIL mail it to:
James W. Moseley
P.O. Box 1709
Key West, FL 33041

It's simple and loads of fun! Ask your grandma if you don't remember how to do it!

We thank you!

The 40th National UFO Conference (NUFOC) is now definitely scheduled for the weekend of September 6th & 7th at the lovely Beverly-Garland Hotel in Burbank, California. Scheduled speakers include Brian Boldman, the "angel hair" expert; MJ-12 researcher Bob Wood; Derryl Simms; Roger Leir; Donna Higbee; Terry Hansen; Rev. Harrison Bailey; and possibly legendary UFO researcher William Moore, coming out of many years of selfimposed retirement rom the UFO field. Also on the program are your somewhat-fearless "Smear" editor, and local convention host(ess) Ann Druffel. More details will be released as time goes by.

Incidentally, Ann Druffel recently had a mignificent write-up in the April/May issue of "UFO Magazine", in their "MUFON Personalities" column. We look forward to working with her as preparations for this grand conclave proceed!


DIGGING ROSWELL - A Special Report by our Contributing Editor

The March meeting of New Mexicans for Science and Reason - the local CSICOP coven - featured a talk by Dr. William H. Doleman cf the University of New Mexico's Office of Contract Archeology. Doleman is the archaeologist who appeared in last fall's amusing, less than meets the eye Science Fiction Channel Roswell special. He was the bearded guy poking around with a bunch of volunteers on the famed Roswell debris field - or shockingly close to it - in search of hard evidence of... Something. Some 60+ bags of dirt and "artifacts" were hauled off under armed guard and locked in a bank vault to await further examination at an unspecified later date.

According to Doleman: The dig site wasn't independently located by the UNM staff! Ufologists Don Schmitt and Tom Carey told them where to dig. Volunteers were provided by the SciFi Channel, among them the daughter of controversial Roswell figure Maj. Edwin Easley. Quoting Doleman, "She got pissed when nothing was found, and complained we were digging the wrong way."

Twenty-five "historic materials of uncertain origin" (HUMOS) were found and bagged. Doleman saw three of them: a "weird orange blob"; something like ribless "duck tape" (!); and "fibers", likely from the nylon ropes used to frame the dig area. Doleman is negotiating another contract with the SciFi Channel under which he would examine and - presumably on TV - report on the bagged goodies now locked away. Whee! Roswell lives!


NEWS BRIEFIES (formerly TIDBITS OF TRASH)


BRIEF BIASED BOOK BASHINGS

Again we are confronted with one of Rick Hilberg's endless stream of softcover 8 by 11 inch booklets, this one 36 pages long and entitled "A Decade of Flying Saucers: 1950-1960". Actually, 1950-1960 is not a decade at all, but a period of eleven years (but why quibble?)

Anyhow, Rick has taken 42 cases from various sources of that era, including our own "Saucer News", which began publishing in 1954. Annoyingly, he still refuses to skip even one line between stories, telling us that blank space is a waste! This habit makes the booklet harder to read! And there are no illustrations, except on the front & back cover.

In another annoying habit, Rick fails to number the 42 cases in the headings, but puts the item number (only) at the end of the write-up, as a reference to a source list on the back page of the volume. Awkward!

In his introduction, Hilberg mentions a brief UFO sighting he himself had in late 1960. He then proceeds to his 42 items. #2 is one we don't remember, and it's quite different from any sighting we do remember, from that decade or any other. It seems that two boys in Amarillo, Texas, were fishing when they spotted an object that they at first believed to be a balloon. As it came closer they were able to discern that it was shaped like a saucer and about 18 in. in diameter. It passed close to them and then glided slowly over a small nearby hill, where it actually landed! They noticed that the top and bottom sections of the disk were separated by a space (wasted space here!); the bottom part was stationary, while the top part was spinning, and had a little peak sticking out of it. It was blue-grey in color and had no visible connections or openings.

To make a long story short, one of the boys touched it, and the object "felt slick and hot". He bent over to pick it up, but the top section started to revolve, so he let it go. With a whistling sound it took off, spraying the boy's arm and face with some sort of exhaust. Later his arm and face had small warts and redness. No mention is made of any follow-up or adult witnesses.

For more of this sort of thing, send the usual eight bucks to UAPA, 377 Race Street, Berea, Ohio 44017....

Also on hand is another 60-page masterpiece from Tim Beckley' Global Communications (Box 753, New Brunswick, N.J. 08903), price not given. This is an 8 by 11 inch offering, and it is entitled "Planet X and the Coming of the Guardians". The author once again is "Commander X" who is either Beckley himself or one of his stable of underpaid hacks

This booklet asks several reasonable questions, assuming the text is even remotely based on fact. The back cover screams: "DIRE WARNING'. WILL A WANDERING PLANET STRIKE EARTH SOON? Is Our Planet Doomed- Or Will UFO Guardians Destroy 'Planet X' On Our Behalf?" Our answers to these questions would be no and no!

We do give credit to Beckley for grinding out thought-provoking stuff like this for lo these many years!


One of our fans has recently sent us this rare, obscene photo, showing your "Smear" editor giving the Ufologist of the Year award to John A. Keel, apparently at the 1967 National UFO Conference in New York City. That was way back, when we were still speaking to each other!


Pflock Ptalk - STATISTICALLY SPEAKING

by Karl Pflock, Our Contributing Editor & Fifth Columnist

"Smear" before last, "reformed Adamskiite" Chris Allan touted former Center for UFO Studies chief investigator Allan Hendry's debunking of the statistics in the famed Project Blue Book Special Report #14, asserting Hendry had proved them "virtually worthless".

Actually, this effort in Hendry's generally outstanding and sadly little known and less read 1979 "UFO Handbook" accomplished nothing of the sort. To say it did is like saying "no evidence of the existence of the popularly-termed 'flying saucers' 'was found" in the results of the Battelle Memorial Institute study presented in #14 - as the U.S. Air Force claimed in its press release misrepresenting the then conveniently classified report's data.

Let's consider the facts.

Battelle assessed 2199 object sightings (a total of 3201 cases) received by the USAF from June l, 1947, through Eecember 31, 1952. As Air Force contractors, they were surprised and disappointed to find the percentage of Unknowns - UFOs - correlated directly and dramatically with the quality of witnesses and data. The better the saucer spotters and case data, the greater the percentage of Unknowns, and vice versa: 33.3% of excellent (71 of 213) and 24.8% of good (188 of 757) sightings, an average of 26.7%. were Unknowns (259 of 970); whereas only 13% of doubtful (103 of 794) and 16.6% of poor (72 of 435) sightings, an average 14.2%, came up UFO (175 of 1229). The overall average of unknowns was 19.7% (434 of 2199) - 21.5% of all cases analyzed (689 of 3201).

Attempting to "prove" these pesky UFOs were just a statistical subgroup of the Knowns (birds, planes, balloons, etc.), the investigators selected six reported characteristics - color, number, duration, shape, speed, and light brightness- and performed "chi-squared" tests on them. To their chagrin, in five of the six tests (light brightness came up ambiguous), they found that "the probability is less than 1% that the distributions (Known and Unknown) are the same". In other words, the odds against the UFOs being misidentified "mundanites" were, ahem, astronomical!

Hendry asserted that the content of the data as selected was such that use of the chi-squared test was inappropriate. Thank the gods, I'm no statistician, but given the limited number of characteristics Battelle picked for testing, Hendry probably was correct. However, all this means is that we ought not to hang our hats - or saucers - on this one set of results.

Instead, the more than just statistically significant proportions of Unknowns in Battelle's excellent-good box cries out for subjecting a broader set of characteristics to chi-squared testing and re-analyzing the whole body of the Battelle data using modern computers and statistical tools. The data are still available. Let's crunch and chi-square them and see what we get. Let's "re-do" all elements of the Battelle study, including the attempt to "build" a saucer model, and then add a few. Sounds like a job for the UFO Research Coalition, doesn't it? Count me in. How about you, Chris, and you, Mr. Hendry?


LETTERS TO YE OLDE EDITOR


SWEET DREAMS
A man from Uckfield, East Sussex, who dreamed he would find treasure buried in his garden spent thousands of pounds digging, and discovered a well with mineral-rich water which is set to make him a fortune. Brighton Eve. Argus, 25 Oct 2001
FROZEN OUT
Jens Lyberth, Greenland's top civil servant, called in a traditional healer, Maannguaq Berthelsen, to drive evil spirits from a government office in the capital Nuuk before moving in. After protests that such "mumbo jumbo" made Greenland a joke, Lyberth was sacked and the ruling coalition of the semi-autonomous Danish territory collapsed. Guardian, Ananova, 15 Jan 2003.
STRANGE OBJECTS OF DESIRE
Jean Curtis filed for divorce from her husband lan, 42, a former military policeman, after finding him on the sofa in their Glasgow flat, clad in blouse and rubber stockings, having sex with a frozen chicken. She said: "My jaw just dropped. I said, 'You dirty bugger, that's my Sunday lunch'. He was calm as you like and said, 'It's all riqht - we can still eat it', I kicked him out.
NEST OF THIEVES
Police cordoned off a Bangladeshi village populated entirely by thieves after politicians demanded they be evicted. In a recent census, the residents of Jahanpur all listed their occupation as "thief". A police spokesman said: "These people do not know any other means of livelihood." Metro, 16 Sept; The Week, 21 Sept 2002.


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